Search results for: valuations

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Digging deeper for market valuations

When discounted for index composition, U.S. equities are not trading at a significant premium to Europe. One can draw some very misleading conclusions about any disparate group by only looking at the aggregates.

Tagged with: Equities, Investing, Markets

U.S. rates — When the facts change

Prospective returns for Treasuries now look poor across the curve—not just at the front end. Yield curves tend to flatten as central banks raise short-term rates, but valuations have now moved beyond the point where these trades make sense.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

Sic transit gloria funding – Takeaways from GE’s pruning of finance activities

Years of lean capital investment and restrained R&D spending raise concerns that the market might have a higher mix of finely tuned mature businesses and a lower mix of growth businesses. We should look for several points’ worth of cushion when using today’s prices and adjusted earnings and comparing them to prior periods.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Perspectives

Interest rates — Farewell, liquidity trap

The U.S. Treasury market as a whole has returned +1% annualized since the end of 2012 (and +0.5% annualized since the low in 10-year yields in July 2012). Because of imminent Fed rate hikes and depressed yield levels, prospective returns look no better today.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

2015 capital market assumptions

We retain very modest expectations for total returns from fixed-income assets based on the low level of yields combined with the expectation that interest rate policy will normalize within the next five years. We believe equities offer returns only slightly below their long-term averages based on expectations of ongoing economic growth and worldwide equity valuations that are not extremely expensive.

| | Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

Finding bond opportunities throughout the business cycle

Global bond markets respond in different ways throughout the business cycle. A flexible strategy can adapt its risk complexion to capture opportunities and mitigate downside.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

European equities – Yesterday’s bears become today’s bulls

We expect to see European earnings and economic growth expectations firming during the year. Even with the strong move in markets so far this year, European equity valuations are not unattractive in our view.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Investing, Global Perspectives

What can derail high growth dominance? More widespread growth!

The fundamental growth prospects for the growth industries that have led markets recently generally remain solid. If there is a kryptonite for secular growth leadership, it would appear to be a change in perceptions regarding global growth prospects.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Investing, Investing, Markets, U.S. Economy

Global market outlook

In equity markets, we are generally positive on the major regions except emerging markets, which we continue to underweight. There are some selective opportunities in EM countries benefitting from lower oil prices and where the respective governments have committed to business-friendly reforms.
In bond markets, we see an increasing disconnect between the U.S. and UK, where yields should move higher, and Europe, where the ECB began intervening in secondary markets on 9 March.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Are equity markets complacent and what can past Fed rate rise cycles tell us about the future?

We are still positive on equities versus other assets, particularly core bonds, although the list of potential headaches for equities is not insignificant and appears to be growing. Japan’s recent progress on the corporate front is a cause for optimism.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets
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About Us

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is a leading global asset management group that provides a broad range of actively managed investment strategies and solutions for individual, institutional and corporate clients around the world. With more than 2,000 people, including over 450 investment professionals based in North America, Europe and Asia, we manage $506 billion†† of assets across developed and emerging market equities, fixed income, asset allocation solutions and alternatives.

††In U.S. dollars as of March 31, 2015. Source: Ameriprise Q1 Earnings Release. Includes all assets managed by entities in the Columbia and Threadneedle groups of companies. Contact us for more current data.