Search results for: labor force

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The U.S. labor market — Show me the money

It is unclear if recent improvements in U.S. labor market data are due to less slack or government-related measures to support worker income and benefits. Occupations with some scarcity of qualified labor have seen some wage pressures, but the gains are likely due to one-time minimum wage hikes.

Tagged with: Economy, U.S. Economy

Slack and inflation

Today’s low unemployment rate indicates modest slack in labor market, which implies earlier Fed rate hikes and/or more inflation risk. The decline in labor force participation in recent years now looks mostly structural.

| Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Yellen at Jackson Hole

At last week’s Jackson Hole Symposium Janet Yellen was not the dove we thought we knew. Balanced remarks on labor market and cumulative progress toward recovery put her views close to center of FOMC.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Global Economy

U.S. rates — An intriguing six point three

Fed and consensus unemployment forecasts are likely to come down after last week’s jobs report. It is not obvious what lower unemployment rate forecasts mean for U.S. monetary policy.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

Waiting on wages

The latest wage data is mixed, with some measures pointing higher while others appear quite sluggish. Wages in the goods producing industries have been hit particularly hard due to the energy and export/dollar impact, although service industries appear insulated. 
It seems likely that the Fed will await more convincing evidence that global factors have run their course and allow the normal relationship between falling unemployment rates and tighter labor markets to strengthen.

Tagged with: Economic Policy, U.S. Economy

U.S. Rates — The Draghi Floor

ECB action this week maybe not enough to restore confidence by itself, but it signals a readiness to defend the inflation target, thus lowering odds of Japanification. U.S. growth accelerating into September 16-17 FOMC meeting.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

Barbarians at the gate – Positive signs for third arrow* progress in Japan

Improved corporate governance, especially as it relates to capital allocation, is a key component to third arrow efforts for Abenomics. To create urgency among corporate managements towards reform, we believe the Japanese government should move to gradually but consistently improve shareholder rights.

Tagged with: Global Perspectives

U.S. rates — Data dependence

Evidence of data dependency at the June FOMC meeting suggests policy will respond to unemployment and inflation surprises. We are more confident the Fed’s reaction function is (nearly) done moving.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing, U.S. Economy

Trending – Socially responsible fixed-income investing

Until recently, ethical investing has focused on avoiding exposure to perceived negative activities. Municipal bonds can offer a cost-effective way to fund programs and infrastructure to serve the public good.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing

Data dependence, broadly defined – Implications of last week’s Fed meeting

Last week’s FOMC meeting was the third largest dovish surprise in the QE era, only bested by the original QE1 announcement and the September 2013 “no taper” decision. We continue to expect the FOMC to hike rates in September, and the pace of rate hikes thereafter should be faster than markets are currently pricing.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing
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About Us

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is a leading global asset management group that provides a broad range of actively managed investment strategies and solutions for individual, institutional and corporate clients around the world. With more than 2,000 people, including over 450 investment professionals based in North America, Europe and Asia, we manage $506 billion†† of assets across developed and emerging market equities, fixed income, asset allocation solutions and alternatives.

††In U.S. dollars as of December 31, 2014. Source: Ameriprise Q4 Earnings Release. Includes all assets managed by entities in the Columbia and Threadneedle groups of companies. Contact us for more current data.