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ECB QE – A boost for markets but not a cure of all ills

We are positive on the financial market impact of European QE if it brings down risk premia such as peripheral bond spreads. The tendency amongst investors will be to own more risk assets such as equities, particularly as the ECB’s move will help to keep interest rates low globally.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

European equities – Yesterday’s bears become today’s bulls

We expect to see European earnings and economic growth expectations firming during the year. Even with the strong move in markets so far this year, European equity valuations are not unattractive in our view.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Global Investing, Global Perspectives

October — It always seems to happen in October!

Markets are now asking what happens if growth slows again in the U.S. and/or weak and slowing growth in Europe, Russia and China drags down U.S. and U.K. growth?

| Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Investing like Lee Kuan Yew

Under Lee Kuan Yew’s leadership, Singapore rose from a sleepy British colonial trading post to become one of the wealthiest per capita nations in the world. The two key pillars of Singapore’s historical ascent were a continuing focus on disciplined governance reforms and improvement, and a relentless drive to climb the value chain in production.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

Investing like Lee Kuan Yew

Under Lee Kuan Yew’s leadership, Singapore rose from a sleepy British colonial trading post to become one of the wealthiest per capita nations in the world. The two key pillars of Singapore’s historical ascent were a continuing focus on disciplined governance reforms and improvement, and a relentless drive to climb the value chain in production.

Tagged with: Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy

Making sense of negative interest rates

Buying bonds at negative rates is a guarantee of losing money in nominal terms.
Central banks must keep real rates low to help their economies reach a self-sustaining growth path. Investors should focus on asset classes that benefit from this growth rather than providing the free money to support it.

Tagged with: Equities, Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing

Is Europe heading for Japanese-style deflation?

Although there are many differences that should ensure that the eurozone does not follow Japan‘s fate, policymakers will need to act forcefully if the risk of deflation intensifies. While the euro area appears to be on track to avert deflation in the short term, many euro countries are “one crisis away from deflation.”
The European Central Bank (ECB) claims to be ahead of the game, but policy needs to be more pro-active.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing

Inflation — The usual suspects

Four factors figure empirically into how and why inflation moves: (1) commodity prices, (2) spare capacity, (3) changes in exchange rates, and (4) monetary policy. These same factors argue for a gradual recovery in U.S. inflation in the year ahead, which could be a headwind for high-quality fixed-income returns.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

Q4 fixed income outlook — External influences

While the bond market has generated strong returns so far in 2014, we are positioning portfolios with a shorter duration to protect against rising interest rates. Although we think that corporate bonds look better than their government counterparts, the most attractive bond market opportunities may be outside of the corporate market.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Investing

2015 – The year of living carefully?

We expect high yield and emerging markets debt to deliver better returns in either a slow growth or inflationary recovery scenario. Investors should brace for higher levels of price volatility as monetary policy continues to move in different directions around the globe.

Tagged with: Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing

About Us

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is a leading global asset management group that provides a broad range of actively managed investment strategies and solutions for individual, institutional and corporate clients around the world. With more than 2,000 people, including over 450 investment professionals based in North America, Europe and Asia, we manage $506 billion†† of assets across developed and emerging market equities, fixed income, asset allocation solutions and alternatives.

††In U.S. dollars as of March 31, 2015. Source: Ameriprise Q1 Earnings Release. Includes all assets managed by entities in the Columbia and Threadneedle groups of companies. Contact us for more current data.