Search results for: fed

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QE worked, but not as advertised

While QE proved very effective in reinforcing the Fed’s communication about short-term interest rates, there could be simpler ways to achieve the same outcome. The U.S. experience with QE suggests it would be effective in Europe.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, Investing

Data dependence, broadly defined – Implications of last week’s Fed meeting

Last week’s FOMC meeting was the third largest dovish surprise in the QE era, only bested by the original QE1 announcement and the September 2013 “no taper” decision. We continue to expect the FOMC to hike rates in September, and the pace of rate hikes thereafter should be faster than markets are currently pricing.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing

U.S. rates — When the facts change

Prospective returns for Treasuries now look poor across the curve—not just at the front end. Yield curves tend to flatten as central banks raise short-term rates, but valuations have now moved beyond the point where these trades make sense.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income, U.S. Economy

A creature is stirring

Last week’s news suggests that the center of the FOMC continues to see interest rate hikes in the middle of next year as most appropriate. December 17 looks like a natural time to begin signaling the possibility of rate hikes to financial markets—an eventuality for which bond investors do not look prepared.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

Flexible income strategies — Avoiding side effects from the Fed’s medicine

In today’s low interest rate environment, investors with cash on hand and a limited appetite for risk aren’t having an easy time growing their wealth. The Fed’s strong influence throughout the government and corporate bond markets makes it hard to find attractive fixed-income instruments of low or moderate risk.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Fixed Income, Investing

Are equity markets complacent and what can past Fed rate rise cycles tell us about the future?

We are still positive on equities versus other assets, particularly core bonds, although the list of potential headaches for equities is not insignificant and appears to be growing. Japan’s recent progress on the corporate front is a cause for optimism.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

Q&A with Jeff Knight, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation

Q: To what extent does monetary policy factor into your investment strategy outlook? A: Every time we get a data point that accelerates the market’s opinion of when the Federal Reserve will tighten, we get a predictable set of consequences that are quite unfriendly to portfolios.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economic/Markets Outlook, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

Release the doves

The Fed (and all central banks) is highly sensitive to shifts in inflation expectations by either consumers or the markets. The one-year TIP breakeven appears to be pricing in some deflationary pulse and is also pulling down longer term inflation expectations across the curve.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy, Investing

U.S. Rates — The Draghi Floor

ECB action this week maybe not enough to restore confidence by itself, but it signals a readiness to defend the inflation target, thus lowering odds of Japanification. U.S. growth accelerating into September 16-17 FOMC meeting.

Tagged with: Economy, Fixed Income

Q3 U.S. fixed-income outlook — Last call

We have become more cautious on the most volatile sectors of the market and have reduced our high-yield and emerging market bond exposures accordingly. Investment-grade credit looks more attractive now, and mortgage-backed securities will likely see less price volatility should bond funds start to see outflows.

| Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Fixed Income, Investing
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About Us

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is a leading global asset management group that provides a broad range of actively managed investment strategies and solutions for individual, institutional and corporate clients around the world. With more than 2,000 people, including over 450 investment professionals based in North America, Europe and Asia, we manage $506 billion†† of assets across developed and emerging market equities, fixed income, asset allocation solutions and alternatives.

††In U.S. dollars as of March 31, 2015. Source: Ameriprise Q1 Earnings Release. Includes all assets managed by entities in the Columbia and Threadneedle groups of companies. Contact us for more current data.