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Special report — 2014 mid-year review and outlook

Key investment professionals review the first half of 2014 and share their insights into what may be ahead for the second half of the year. Interest rates

Zach Pandl, Portfolio manager and strategist

Review:

Government bond yields declined in early 2014, both in the U.S. and in other developed market economies.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Economy, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Investing, U.S. Economy

Emerging Markets: Waiting on exports

Exports by emerging market economies are the most important factor in explaining long-term growth. EM exports have remained sluggish for the past three years due in part to the subpar nature of global growth.

Tagged with: Global Economy, Investing, Markets

Q&A with Jeff Knight, Global Head of Investment Solutions and Asset Allocation

Q: What do you mean by “solutions” as referenced in your title and domain of responsibility? A: We use that word to refer to investment strategies whose success and risk are defined in an outcome-oriented way as opposed to a benchmark-oriented way.

| Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Investing, Markets

Europe – The darkest hour is just before the dawn

The European Central Bank is embarking on quantitative easing at a time when tailwinds are already beginning to build behind the euro area economy. A more constructive economic outlook could have important implications for European markets.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives, Markets

Global market outlook

In equity markets, we are generally positive on the major regions except emerging markets, which we continue to underweight. There are some selective opportunities in EM countries benefitting from lower oil prices and where the respective governments have committed to business-friendly reforms.
In bond markets, we see an increasing disconnect between the U.S. and UK, where yields should move higher, and Europe, where the ECB began intervening in secondary markets on 9 March.

Tagged with: Economy, Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Global asset allocation outlook (August 2014)

We have advocated an overweight to equities for several years. Even through the early year setbacks for the global economy and for global stocks, our views favored equities over other investment choices.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Fixed Income, Investing

Three’s a party in India

Investors are concluding that the prospects for EM equities are as dim as ever. Yet evaluating EM as a monolithic whole is outdated and dangerous.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

Asset allocation — Kinetic vs. potential energy

While most equity markets had positive first half performance, we still expect modest acceleration in growth ahead for the global economy. From both a valuation perspective and investor sentiment viewpoint, Chinese, Russian and Japanese equities look cheap.

Tagged with: Asset Allocation, Equities, Investing, Markets

A very, very, very, very Black Swan?

Investors should understand the risks in their portfolio, and be cognizant that black swan events can occur much more frequently than models suggest. Risk models are extremely helpful when thinking about portfolio construction, but shouldn’t be relied upon exclusively.

Tagged with: Economy, Global Economy, Global Perspectives

What to make of the rebound in emerging market equities

Despite continuing headlines of concern, EM markets have rebounded recently. In order to sustain that rally, we need to see progress on export volumes and political/economic reforms.
While not universally cheap, EM equity valuations are not unreasonable and we continue to find bottom-up opportunities.

Tagged with: Equities, Global Economy, Investing
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About Us

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is a leading global asset management group that provides a broad range of actively managed investment strategies and solutions for individual, institutional and corporate clients around the world. With more than 2,000 people, including over 450 investment professionals based in North America, Europe and Asia, we manage $506 billion†† of assets across developed and emerging market equities, fixed income, asset allocation solutions and alternatives.

††In U.S. dollars as of December 31, 2014. Source: Ameriprise Q4 Earnings Release. Includes all assets managed by entities in the Columbia and Threadneedle groups of companies. Contact us for more current data.